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The forecast for winter is in and it’s not pretty!

We’re sure most of you are already aware of the recent heat wave across the U.S., despite the presence of fall for several weeks now. While fall got off to a slow start, it won’t be long before winter is here and we’ll be wishing for those warmer temperatures—but what kind of winter will it be? Freezing or fairly mild?

With the release of two key winter forecasts, it seems that some homeowners may experience a temperate climate while others won’t be so lucky.

AER: Fall predicts winter

According to researchers at the Atmospheric and Environment Research, Inc. (AER) and MIT, we are more than likely looking at a cold, snowy winter.

By analyzing recent fall trends around the world and their relationship to current U.S. weather patterns, AER Meteorologist Judah Cohen developed a forecast model to achieve real-time forecasts as a way to improve the ability to anticipate important weather events. Cohen’s model forecast’s colder than usual temperatures this winter for a large swath of the eastern U.S. with below average temperatures for the western part of the U.S. If this holds true, big cities such as Detroit, Chicago, Washington, D.C., Boston and New York could be in for a pretty cold winter.

NOAA: La Niña predicts winter

Despite the AER weather report, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released a long-range forecast predicting a more mild winter (to the relief of some homeowners) with the development of La Niña, setting the stage for the upcoming winter.

Once El Niño makes its presence known—like last summer—La Niña usually follows, peaking in late fall and throughout the winter season. As a result, the NOAA report shows this winter will most likely produce a temperate climate for the majority of the U.S while generating colder than usual temperatures for parts of the northern U.S.

The verdict

To sum it up, it’s important to keep in mind that while these climate outlooks provide a general idea of what to expect this winter, there’s still some variability. If there’s anything we’ve all learned about winter, it’s to expect the unexpected and make sure your home and everyone in it is prepared for the typical winter hazards. By taking advantage of USA Insulation’s services, you can further prepare your home to protect your family from the extreme cold and save money on your energy bills, no matter what form the winter takes.

If you’re not sure your home is winter-ready, contact your local insulation experts for a free in-home consultation!

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